高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响及作用机制研究

Research on effects and mechanisms of high standard farmland construction on grain production resilience

  • 摘要: 目的 探究高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响及作用机制,并解析高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响是否存在区域差异,为相关部门有效推进高标准农田建设提供参考依据。方法 基于2005—2022年我国30个省级行政区(由于数据不可得性,未将西藏及港澳台地区纳入研究)的面板数据,从抵抗力、适应力、变革力3个维度出发构建粮食生产韧性综合评价指标体系,在以熵值法综合测度粮食生产韧性的基础上,利用双向固定效应模型和中介效应模型深入探究高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响及作用机制。结果 (1)高标准农田建设每增加1%,粮食生产韧性随之提高0.357%,即高标准农田建设能有效提高粮食生产韧性,且经1%缩尾处理、替换模型、剔除样本及控制内生性问题等系列检验后,其结论仍然成立。(2)高标准农田建设能通过促进农业劳动力转移、农业生产性服务发展来增强粮食生产韧性。(3)高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性的影响在粮食生产功能区及自然灾害程度方面呈现明显异质性。在非粮食主产区,高标准农田建设极显著提升了粮食生产韧性(P<0.01,下同),而在粮食主产区的提升效果不明显;高受灾率地区和低受灾率地区的高标准农田建设对粮食生产韧性均具有极显著正向影响,且在高受灾率地区的提升作用更明显。【建议】今后应从以下3个方面进一步加快推进高标准农田建设,有效增强粮食生产韧性以保障我国粮食安全:(1)加快推进高标准农田建设,完善建后管护机制;(2) 引导农业劳动力转移,重视农业生产性服务发展;(3)制定差异化建设标准,因地制宜精准施策。

     

    Abstract: Objective This study aimed to investigate effects and mechanism of high-standard farmland construction on grain production resilience, and to analyze whether regional heterogeneity existed in such effects, so as to provide a reference for relevant departments to effectively promote farmland construction.Method Based on panel data from 30 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2005 to 2022 (excluding Xizang, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan due to data unavailability), a comprehensive evaluation index system of grain production resilience was established from three dimensions: resistance, adaptability, and reformability. The entropy method was applied to measure the level of resilience, and on this basis, a two-way fixed effects model and a mediation effect model were employed to test the effects and mechanisms of high-standard farmland construction on grain production resilience.Result (1)Every 1% increase in high-standard farmland construction raised grain production resilience by 0.357%, indicating that farmland construction could significantly enhance resilience. This conclusion remained robust after 1% winsorization, model substitution, sample exclusion, and addressing endogeneity. (2)High-standard farmland construction enhanced grain production resi-lience by promoting agricultural labor transfer and improving the development of agricultural productive services. (3) Effects of high-standard farmland construction on grain production resilience showed an obvious heterogeneity regarding grain production functional areas and disaster exposure severity. In non-major grain producing areas, high-standard farmland construction significantly improved resilience (P<0.01, the same below), while in major grain-producing areas such effect was not obvious. Both highly and slightly disaster-affected areas received highly significant positive effects on grain production resilience from high-standard farmland construction, with an even stronger positive effect for highly disaster-affected areas. Suggestion Efforts to construct high-standard farmland should be accelerated from the following three aspects for stronger grain production resilience to ensure national food security of China: (1)to accelerate high-standard farmland construction and improve post-construction management and protection mechanisms; (2)to guide the transfer of agricultural labor and promote the development of agricultural productive services;(3)to formulate differentiated construction standards that enable regional-based and targeted policy implementation.

     

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