基于生命周期评价法的我国油菜碳足迹核算与时空变化分析

Carbon footprint accounting and spatiotemporal changes of Chinese rapeseed based on life cycle assessment method

  • 摘要: 【目的】 深度剖析近年来我国油菜碳足迹的时空演变及来源构成变化趋势,并提出油菜种植减排增产的可行方向,为制定油菜种植产业政策和优化种植结构提供参考依据。【方法】 基于油菜投入产出数据,采用生命周期评价法测算2004—2022年我国15个油菜种植省份的油菜碳足迹,分析油菜碳足迹变化特征,并有针对性提出减排策略。【结果】 2004—2022年我国油菜温室气体排放总量、单位面积碳足迹和单位产量碳足迹总体上呈增长趋势,温室气体排放总量年均增长量约0.34×109 kg CO2eq,单位产量碳足迹年均增长量约0.01 kg CO2eq/kg,单位面积碳足迹年均增长量约0.049×103 kg CO2eq/ha;在省份层面,长江中上游及西南、西北种植区的油菜温室气体排放总量呈正增长趋势,以湖南省增长最快,年均增长量为20.668×107 kg CO2eq,而江苏省、安徽省、河南省和浙江省呈下降趋势,对应的年均变化量分别为-9.925×107、-8.606×107、-2.869×107和-2.324×107 kg CO2eq。除重庆市外,我国主要油菜种植区的单位面积碳足迹均随时间的推移而增长,其中增长较快的有湖南省、贵州省和甘肃省,年均增长量分别为98.632、103.165和120.070 kg CO2eq/ha。我国大部分油菜种植区的单位产量碳足迹随时间的推移而增加,仅重庆市、江苏省、云南省、浙江省、江西省和四川省的单位产量碳足迹呈降低趋势。从碳足迹构成来看,化肥生产和化肥施用是我国油菜种植中碳足迹的主要来源,二者的单位面积碳足迹占比合计为70.94%,其次是灌溉和人工产生的碳排放,即控制化肥和灌溉投入量是我国油菜种植减排的主要方向。我国各省油菜种植各环节单位面积碳足迹占比存在一定差异,但总体上与全国油菜单位面积碳足迹构成保持一致。【建议】 积极推广油菜化肥减量增效技术,提高化肥利用效率;普及推广油菜节水节能灌溉技术,着力减少灌溉能耗;科学规划油菜产业短长期目标,优化生产区域布局。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective】 The paper aimed to calculate the carbon footprint of rapeseed,deeply analyze the spatiotemporal evolution and source composition trends of rapeseed carbon footprint in China,proposed feasible directions for rapeseed planting emission reduction and yield improvement,which could provide reference for formulating rapeseed planting industry policies and optimizing planting structure. 【Method】 Based on the input-output data of rapeseed,the life cycle assessment method was used to calculate the rapeseed carbon footprint data of 15 rapeseed planting provinces in China from 2004 to 2022 so as to analyze the characteristics of rapeseed carbon footprint changes,and to put forward emission reduction strategies. 【Result】 Overall,the total greenhouse gas emissions,carbon footprint per unit yield and carbon footprint per unit area of rapeseed in China from 2004 to 2022 showed an increasing trend,with an average annual growth of 0.34× 109 kg CO2eq in total greenhouse gas emissions,0.01 kg CO2eq/kg in carbon footprint per unit yield,and 0.049×103 kg CO2eq/ha in carbon footprint per unit area respectively. From the provincial perspective,greenhouse gas emissions from rapeseed in the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River,the growth was the fastest in Hunan,with an average annual increase of 20.668×107 kg CO2eq. However,provinces of Jiangsu,Anhui,Henan and Zhejiang showed a downward trend,and the corresponding average annual variation were -9.925×107,-8.606×107,-2.869×107 and -2.324×107 kg CO2eq respectively. The carbon footprint per unit area in other rapeseed planting regions except Chongqing has increased over time,with Hunan,Guizhou,and Gansu experiencing faster growth,the average annual growth were 98.632,103.165 and 120.070 kg CO2eq/ha respectively. The carbon footprint per unit yield in most rapeseed planting regions of China has increased over time. Only carbon footprint per unit yield in Chongqing,Jiangsu,Yunnan,Zhejiang,Jiangxi and Sichuan showed a decreasing trend. From the perspective of carbon footprint composition,the production and application of chemical fertilizers were the main sources of carbon footprint in rapeseed cultivation in China,with a combined share of 70.94% of the carbon footprint per unit area. The second largest source was carbon emissions from irrigation and labor activities. Therefore,controlling the input of chemical fertilizers and irrigation was the main direction for reducing emissions in rapeseed cultivation in China. There were certain differences in the proportion of carbon footprint per unit area in each link of rapeseed planting in various provinces of China,but on the whole,it was consistent with the composition of carbon footprint per unit area of rapeseed in China. 【Suggestion】 Actively promote the technology of reducing and increa-sing the efficiency of rapeseed fertilizers,and improve the utilization efficiency of fertilizers;vigorously promote water-saving and energy-saving technologies for rapeseed irrigation,and improve irrigation energy efficiency;make a scientific planning for short-term and long-term goals of the rapeseed industry,and optimize the layout of production areas.

     

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