农村基础设施投入对农民生计韧性的影响效应及作用机制

The impact of rural infrastructure investment on farmers’ livelihood resilience:Effects and its mechanism

  • 摘要: 【目的】 检验农村基础设施投入对农民生计韧性的影响及其作用机制,明确不同地区农村基础设施投入对农民生计韧性的影响是否存在异质性,为推进乡村全面振兴及提升农民生计韧性提供决策参考。【方法】 基于2011— 2021年我国30个省份(不含港澳台及西藏)的平衡面板数据,从暴露性、敏感性、缓冲能力、学习能力和自组织能力5个方面对农民生计韧性进行测度,采用固定效应模型、系统GMM模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型,检验农村基础设施投入对农民生计韧性的影响及其作用机制,揭示劳动力转移、产业结构升级和农业规模化经营在农村基础设施投入与农民生计韧性间的中介作用。【结果】 (1)我国东部、中部和西部地区的农村基础设施投入均能极显著促进农民生计韧性(P<0.01,下同),影响系数呈西部>中部>东部的格局,且随相关政策的实施而提升;(2)从作用机制分析来看,农村基础设施投入可通过提升劳动力转移、农业规模化经营和产业结构升级,而促进农民生计韧性,尤其劳动力转移是关键路径;(3)从区域异质性分析来看,农村基础设施投入对西部地区和中部地区农民生计韧性的作用效应高于东部地区,说明农村基础设施投入对我国不同地区农民生计韧性的影响存在明显差异;(4)随着劳动力转移、农业规模化经营和产业结构升级,农村基础设施投入对农民生计韧性的推动作用呈非线性变化。其中,改善劳动力转移和农业规模化经营水平是带来显著收益的辅助性手段。【建议】 深入认识农村基础设施投入对农民生计韧性的影响,并从以下4个方面着手提升农民生计韧性:(1)提高农村基础设施投入,完善配套政策;(2)因地制宜,实施差异化投入策略;(3)加强就业保障,提升劳动力转移质量;(4)转变农业生产方式,推动农业规模化发展和产业结构升级。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective】 To examine the impact of rural infrastructure investment on farmers’livelihood resilience and its mechanisms,and to determine whether there was heterogeneity in the effect of rural infrastructure investment on far-mers’livelihood resilience across different regions,which could provide decision-making references for advancing rural revitalization and enhancing farmers’livelihood resilience. 【Method】 Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China (excluding Hong Kong,Macau,Taiwan and Xizang)from 2011 to 2021,this study measured farmers’livelihood resi-lience from 5 aspects:exposure,sensitivity,buffering capacity,learning capacity and self-organization capacity. Fixed effects model,system GMM model,mediation effect model and threshold effect model were used to test the impact of rural infrastructure investment on farmers’livelihood resilience and its mechanisms. The study also explored the mediating roles of labor transfer,industrial upgrading,and agricultural scale operations in rural infrastructure investment and farmers’livelihood resilience. 【Result】 (1)Rural infrastructure investment in the eastern,central,and western regions of China extremely significantly enhanced farmers’livelihood resilience(P<0.01,the same below),with the impact coefficient following the pattern:western region > central region > eastern region,and this effect has strengthened with the implementation of related policies.(2)In terms of the mechanisms,rural infrastructure investment promoted farmers’ livelihood resilience by apgrading labor transfer,agricultural scale operations and industrial structure,with labor transfer being the key pathway.(3)The regional heterogeneity analysis revealed that the effect of rural infrastructure investment on farmers’livelihood resilience was greater in the western and central regions compared to the eastern region,indicating great regional differences in the impact of rural infrastructure investment on farmers’livelihood resilience.(4)As labor transfer,agricultural scale operations and industrial structure upgraded,the promotion effect of rural infrastructure investment on farmers’livelihood resilience exhibited a nonlinear change. Among these,improving labor transfer and agricultural scale operations brought significant benefits as complementary measures. 【Suggestion】 To improve farmers’livelihood resilience,the following 4 measures should be implemented:(1)increase investment in rural infrastructure and improve supporting policies;(2)implement differentiated investment strategies based on local conditions;(3)strengthen employment security and improve the quality of labor transfer;(4)transform agricultural production methods to promote agricultural scale development and industrial upgrading.

     

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