新疆农村包容性绿色增长测度及策略研究

Measurement and strategy of inclusive green growth in rural areas of Xinjiang

  • 摘要: 【目的】基于2004—2020年新疆的农村面板数据,统计分析其农村包容性绿色增长现状,评估其绩效,为探寻农村包容性绿色增长实现路径提供参考依据。【方法】运用相关分析、判别能力分析和理性甄别分析法,建立包括农村经济增长、民生福利、绿色生产和环境保护4个维度及18个指标在内的新疆农村包容性绿色增长评价体系,利用熵权法分析评价2004—2020年新疆农村包容性绿色增长的绩效和各维度发展情况。【结果】在2004—2020年间,新疆农村包容性绿色增长绩效指数呈现快速上升趋势,与我国农村包容性绿色增长趋势相吻合。在农村经济增长、民生福利、绿色生产和环境保护4个维度的协同作用下,2004—2020年新疆农村包容性绿色增长的发展阶段可归纳为起步阶段、快速上升阶段、增速放缓阶段和增速回升4个阶段。其中,农村经济增长和民生福利2个维度的发展对新疆农村包容性绿色增长指数的提高具有巨大贡献,环境保护维度的波动式上升在一定程度上促进了新疆农村包容性绿色增长指数的提高,但绿色生产维度的下降趋势在一定程度上限制了新疆农村包容性绿色增长绩效的发展。【建议】新疆各级政府应通过因地制宜构建多元化农村经济产业发展模式、提高公共服务水平和强化政府引导作用推进农村绿色发展,以提高新疆农村包容性绿色增长水平。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective】 Based on the panel data in Xinjiang rural areas from 2004 to 2020, this study statistically analyzed the status quo of inclusive green growth in rural areas of Xinjiang, assessed its performance, and provided reference basis for exploring the realization path of inclusive green growth in the rural areas.【Method】 Using correlation analysis, discriminatory capacity analysis and rational screening analysis, an evaluation system for inclusive green growth in rural areas of Xinjiang was established, including 4 dimensions(rural economic growth, rural residents' livelihood and welfare, rural green production and rural environmental protection) and 18 indexes, and the entropy weight method was used to analyze and evaluate the performance of inclusive green growth and the development of each dimension in rural areas of Xinjiang from 2004 to 2020.【Result】 During the period of 2004-2020, the index of inclusive green growth performance in rural areas of Xinjiang showed a rapid upward trend, which was consistent with the trend of inclusive green growth in rural areas of China. Under the synergistic effect of the 4 dimensions(rural economic growth, rural residents' livelihood and welfare, rural green production and rural environmental protection), the development stages of Xinjiang's rural inclusive green growth from 2004 to 2020 could be summarized into 4 stages:initial stage, significant rising stage, growth slowdown stage and growth recovery stage. The development of thetwo dimensions ofrural economic growth and rural residents' livelihood and welfare contributed greatlyto the improvement of Xinjiang's rural inclusive green growth index. The fluctuating rise of rural environmental protection dimension also promoted the improvement of Xinjiang's rural inclusive green growth index to a certain extent. However, the declining trend of green production dimension limited the development of inclusive green growth performance in rural areas of Xinjiang to a certain extent.【Conclusion】 Xinjiang government at all levels should promote rural green development by constructing the diversified rural economic industrial development mode according to local conditions, improving the level of public services, and strengthening the guiding role of the government, in order to improve the level of inclusive green growth in rural areas of Xinjiang.

     

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