小粒种咖啡主要农艺性状与产量关系分析

Association among main agronomic traits and yield in Coffea arabica

  • 摘要: 【目的】了解小粒种咖啡(Coffea arabica)农艺性状对单株产量的影响,为小粒种咖啡优良品种选育提供科学依据。【方法】基于瑞丽咖啡国家种质资源圃1999—2020年期间的观测数据,采用相关性系数、灰色关联分析及变量投影重要性准则3种方法,以及运用偏最小二乘法(PLS)建立线性回归方程,对小粒种咖啡主要农艺性状与单株产量关联进行分析。【结果】小粒种咖啡各农艺性状与单株产量间存在着极显著的正相关关系(P<0.01)。灰度关联分析表明,各农艺性状与单株产量有较强的关联度,关联度变化范围在0.750~0.769。变量投影重要性分析表明,各农艺性状对单株产量均有较好的解释能力,其中分枝对数和茎粗对单株产量的解释能力最大,变量投影重要性准则(VIP值)分别为1.290和1.140。株高、茎粗、分枝对数、冠幅、最长一分枝长和最长一分枝节数6个主要农艺性状与单株产量建立的PLS线性回归方程拟合度最优。通径分析结果表明,各农艺性状对单株产量间接作用的总效应(1.472)大于直接作用(0.471)。最长一分枝长通过其他农艺性状对单株产量的间接作用总和最大,为0.333。其他农艺性状通过最长一分枝长对单株产量的间接作用总效应最大,为0.576。另外,其他农艺性状通过分枝对数对单株产量的间接作用总效应也较大,为0.562。【结论】6个主要农艺性状对咖啡单株产量有显著影响,在品种选育过程中是主要的观测对象。所建立的偏最小二乘法(PLS)线性回归方程,可作为单株产量预测的辅助手段。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective】The aim of this study was to analyze the relationship between agronomic trait of coffee(Coffea arabica)and yield,and to provide theoretical references for breeding superior coffee varieties.【Method】Based on the observed data of national germplasm resources garden of Ruili coffee from 1999 to 2020,used correlation(r),gray correlation(GRA)and projected importance(VIP)methods,the linear regression equation was established by partial least squares regression(PLS)method to analyze the main agronomic traits and yield per plant of coffee.【Result】There was extremely significant correlation between agronomic traits and yield per plant(P<0.01). Gray correlation analysis showed that there was a strong correlation between each agronomic trait and yield per plant,and the relational coefficient ranged from 0.750 to 0.769. VIP showed that all agronomic traits had good explanatory ability to yield per plant,in which number of primary branch and stem diameter had the highest explanatory ability to yield per plant,and VIP value were 1.290 and 1.140,respectively. The optimal PLS model identified six relevant traits(plant height,main stem diameter,number of primary branch,canopy diameter,length of the first primary branch and number of the first primary branch node). Path analysis showed that cumulative indirect effects of agronomic traits on yield per plant (1.472)was greater than the cumulative direct effects(0.471). The length of the first primary branch had the greatest indirect effect on yield per plant through other agronomic traits,and the value was 0.333. The cumulative indirect effect of other agronomic traits on yield per plant through length of the first primary branch was the greatest(0.576). In addition,there was also a greater cumulative indirect effect of other agronomic traits on yield per plant through the number of primary branch(0.562).【Conclu-sion】Based on the analysis,all the six traits in this study significantly influence coffee yield. Thus,those agronomic traits are the main observation objects in the breeding process. PLS linear regression equation established by using six agronomic traits has the highest accuracy,which can be used as an auxiliary tool to predict the yield per plant.

     

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